Methodology


The Scope and Steps in Developing the lndex

The City Development Index aims to compare cities objectively from a holistic perspective both at the international and national levels. In order for the City Development Index to have a strong methodology and healthy data infrastructure, a meticulous and intensive work process was carried out at every step in creating the index. The process of creating the City Development Index consists of the following steps: identifying the theoretical framework and key areas, data collection and indicator creation, determining the geographical scope, data processing, weighting and aggregation, classification and sequencing, and visualization and presentation.

When comparing the City Development Index internationally, a total of 48 indicators were constructed under 3 domains (social, economic, education/culture) and 12 dimensions. The dimensions of demographic dynamism, social welfare, health & safety, and environment have 18 indicators, while the dimensions of economic wealth, development, openness, and work life have 16 indicators. In the domain of education and culture, 14 indicators were produced under the dimensions of education, human capital, connectedness, and diversity and participation.

The Process for Creating the City Development Index

First, we identified 100 cities from each continent with populations of over 1 million and that had occurred the most in the indexes that had been examined within the scope of the study in order to compare the City Development Index internationally. Next, 50 cities were selected from each of these 100 cities by paying close attention to geographical inclusion and diversity. In particular, we selected cities that are prominent both in the selected sub-regions as well as in terms of country, paying attention to balancing the distribution of cities from among 5 continents (Africa, America, Asia, Europe, and Oceania) and 9 sub-regions (Africa, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, South America, North America, Middle East, South and Southeast Asia, Central and East Asia, and Oceania).

Macroform borders or the municipal borders of medium-sized cities/metropolitan areas or of the entire province of large cities have been taken as the basis while determining each city’s area for the international comparison. A total of 55 cities were compared by including 5 cities from Turkey with the 50 other cities being selected from around the world.


Cities Around the World Included in the City Development Index

 

The Indicator Structure of the City Development Index

DOMAIN

DIMENSION

INDICATOR

INDICATOR CONSTRUCTION METHODS

SOCIAL (18)

Demographic
Dynamism

Family Sustainability

Ratio of crude marriage rate to crude divorce rate

Population Reproduction

Fertility rate per 1,000 women (aged 15-45)

Life Expectancy

Life expectancy at birth

Infant Mortality

Mortality rate per 1,000 live births

Age Dependency

Ratio of the population over the age of 65 to the active population

Social Welfare

Poverty

Rate of population living under the national poverty line

Automobile Ownership

Number of automobiles per 1,000 people

Cost of Living

Average housing rental value (PPP)

Comfortable Public Transportation

Length of rail system(meters) per 1,000 people

Health & Safety

Access to Health

Number of doctors and hospital beds per 1,000 people

Traffic Accident Fatalities

Number of deaths from traffic accidents per 100,000 people

Work Safety

Number of deaths from occupational accidents per 100,000 employees

Suicide

Number of suicides per 100,000 people

Intentional homicides

Number of homicides per 100,000 people

Environment

Recycling

Recycling rate of municipal solid waste

Air Quality

PM2.5 ratio in the air

Electricity Consumption

Residential electricity consumption per capita (kWh)

Water Consumption

Residential water consumption per capita (m3)

ECONOMIC (16)

Economic
Wealth

GDP Per Capita

Gross city product per capita (USA Dollars, PPP)

Income Equality

Gini coefficient

Household Debt

Ratio of household debt to GDP

Inflation

Average price increase (end of year)

Development

Investment

Ratio of gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Economic Transformation

Share of tertiary sector in GDP

Female Labor Force Participation

Female labor force participation in the active population

Taxation

Ratio of collected taxes to GDP

Openness

Diversity in Work Life

Percentage of foreigners in the labor force

Foreign Direct Investment

Ratio of foreign direct investment stock to GDP

Economic Connection

Ratio of total foreign trade to GDP

Foreign Trade Balance

Foreign trade balance

Work Life

Employment Structure

Share of tertiary sector in employment

Labor Force Participation

Labor force participation rate in the population over 15 years of age

Unemployment

Unemployment rate

Qualified Labor

Percentage of the workforce with a university or higher-learning institution degree

EDUCATION & CULTURE (14)

Education

Enrollment

General enrollment rate

Population in universities

Percentage of higher education students in the population

Quality of Education

Number of students per teacher in primary and secondary schools

Human Capital

Population with Higher Education

Educational attainment: Those aged 25+ with at least one post-secondary degree (%, cumulative)

Number of Researchers

Percentage of those working in R&D who are researchers

R&D Expenditures

R&D expenditures to GDP (%)

Intellectual Property

Number of intellectual property applications (patents, registered trademarks) per 100,000 people

Connectedness

Connectivity

Ratio of the number of passengers within 80 km of the city airport(s) to the total population

Attractivity

Number of overnight tourists

Internet Quality

Average Internet speed (Mbps)

Popularity

Google search trends index score

Diversity and
Participation

Student Diversity

Percentage of foreign students in higher education

Political Participation

Voter turnout

Demographic Diversity

Non-citizens’ share of the total population

 

Cities Included in the Index

Region Cities
Africa Cairo, Casablanca, Johannesburg, Lagos, Nairobi
Western Europe Amsterdam, Athens, Berlin, Brussels, Copenhagen, Lisbon, London, Madrid, Paris, Rome, Stockholm, Vienna
Eastern Europe Belgrade, Budapest, Moscow, Prague, Sofia, Warsaw
South America Buenos Aires, Rio de Janeiro, Santiago
South and Southeast Asia Bangkok, Delhi, Dhaka, Jakarta, Karachi, Kuala Lumpur
North America Chicago, Mexico City, New York, Toronto
Middle East Ankara, Antalya, Beirut, Dubai, Istanbul, Izmir, Konya, Riyadh, Tehran, Tel Aviv
Central and East Asia Almaty, Baku, Beijing, Hong Kong, Seoul, Shanghai, Tokyo
Oceania Auckland, Sydney

Data Generation and Analysis

Because the main approach of the City Development Index involves the availability of statistical quantitative data, the data collection phase directly affected the indicator construction process. The standardization, winsorization, normalization, and imputation stages occurred in that order once the raw data had been collected; thus, the indicator scores required for weighting were formed by processing the raw data.

Through about 10 months of meticulous work, the project team obtained the national and international raw data within the scope of the City Development Index from the databases of international organizations such as the UN, OECD, ILO, World Bank, UNESCO, Eurostat, as well as from the statistical offices of countries and cities. The first stage standardized the raw data for all the cities by converting the data to the same units of measurement (e.g., percentages, quantities, per capita values).

In order to prevent outliers in each indicator from dominating the index results, the second stage determined indicators with skewness values greater than 2 and kurtosis values greater than 3.5, then the outliers in these indicators were winsorized to the nearest maximum or minimum value.

The third stage normalized all indicators using the method of adjusting to the maximum value in order to ensure that the indicators with different measurement units are on the same page and to avoid over- or under-representation in the index score. Thus, values were produced in the range of 0-100 for each indicator. The advantage of adjusting to the maximum value is that the pre-normalized structure of the data remains intact after normalization. Other normalization methods partially disrupt the structure of the data, narrowing distributions with wide ranges and widening distributions with narrow ranges. After normalization, negative indicators were subtracted from 100, and the direction of the indicator was reversed.

The fourth stage estimated the missing data for each indicator using imputation techniques when no data were available for a city or when deficiencies occurred in the temporal data of a city. In the case of city data being absent for certain years, the values for the missing years were estimated according to the structure of the data using a projection method by averaging the previous and following years or by using the most recently published data. If no data could be found for a city specific to that indicator, the city data was obtained by taking a relative proportion from the region and country data. If country data were unavailable, the missing data were completed by taking the value as the average value of the dimension included in that indicator.

Weighting the lndicators

After completing the data processing phases, the indicators were weighted and combined with the dimensions. The criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) method was used to weight the indicators. With this method, weighting is done according to two basic criteria: the first is the standard deviation value, which shows the spread of the observed values for the variable, and the second is the correlation coefficients, which shows the intensity of the relationships among variables. Accordingly, the weight of a variable is directly proportional to the standard deviation of that variable and inversely proportional to the correlation value between it and the other variables. The final stage combined the indicators using the weighted arithmetic average method while calculating the index score. Thus, the weight of a dimension was obtained by adding the weights of the indicators making up that dimension, and the weight of a domain was obtained by adding the dimensions that make up that domain.

The final stage also calculated the dimension, domain, and indicator scores for each city between 2010-2020 and ranked the cities individually according to the calculated indicator, domain, and dimension scores. Thus, the cities at the top, bottom, and middle were identified with respect to their dimension, domain, and index scores. The cities and nine regions where these cities are located were evaluated with respect to their 11-year average scores. As a result of the rankings, the cities were additionally classified in different categories with respect to both the rise and fall in rank over the years as well as to their average rank.

 

The Direction the Indicators Contribute to the Index, and Weightings for the Indicators, Dimensions, and Domains

INDICATORS

INDICATOR WAY

INDICATOR WEIGHT

DIMENSION WEIGHT

DOMAIN WEIGHT

Family Sustainability

Positive

2.11%

8.26%

37.18%

Population Reproduction

Positive

1.50%

Life Expectancy

Positive

0.51%

Infant Mortality

Negative

2.15%

Age Dependency

Negative

2.01%

Poverty

Negative

1.96%

8.33%

Automobile Ownership

Positive

2.23%

Cost of Living

Negative

1.91%

Comfortable Public Transportation

Positive

2.22%

Access to Health

Positive

2.05%

11.81%

Traffic Accident Fatalities

Negative

2.48%

Work Safety

Negative

2.02%

Suicide

Negative

2.41%

Intentional homicides

Negative

2.85%

Recycling

Positive

1.86%

8.79%

Air Quality

Negative

2.37%

Electricity Consumption

Positive

2.23%

Water Consumption

Positive

2.34%

GDP Per Capita

Positive

1.87%

8.23%

32.37%

Income Equality

Negative

1.48%

Household Debt

Negative

2.44%

Inflation

Negative

2.43%

Investment

Positive

1.62%

6.86%

Economic Transformation

Positive

1.31%

Female Labor Force Participation

Positive

1.76%

Taxation

Positive

2.16%

Diversity in Work Life

Positive

3.17%

10.76%

Foreign Direct Investment

Positive

2.63%

Economic Connection

Positive

2.63%

Foreign Trade Balance

Positive

2.34%

Employment Structure

Positive

1.20%

6.52%

Labor Force Participation

Positive

1.04%

Unemployment

Negative

2.42%

Qualified Labor

Positive

1.86%

Enrollment

Positive

0.89%

4.35%

30.45%

Population in universities

Positive

2.05%

Quality of Education

Negative

1.40%

Population with Higher Education

Positive

1.73%

8.80%

Number of Researchers

Positive

2.25%

R&D Expenditures

Positive

1.97%

Intellectual Property

Positive

2.84%

Connectivity

Positive

2.37%

9.57%

Attractivity

Positive

2.67%

Internet Quality

Positive

1.96%

Popularity

Positive

2.55%

Student Diversity

Positive

2.56%

7.74%

Political Participation

Positive

2.28%

Demographic Diversity

Positive

2.90%

 

The New Faces That Brings Magic

Our Expert Team

Prof. Lutfi Sunar
Istanbul Medeniyet University
Prof. Mahmut Hakkı Akın
Istanbul Medeniyet University
Assoc. Prof. Umit Gunes
Yildiz Technical University
Assoc. Prof. Muhammed Ziya Paköz
Istanbul Technical University
Mustafa Emre Kızılca
Endeks Araştırma